Catégories
Issues Trends

What can we expect from the tourism bubble in the next few years?

What are the major influential factors that will affect tourism supply and demand this decade? For a start, China and India are poised to become major players as they increase their presence in the travel marketplace.

  • Climate of uncertainty
    The political, economic, climatic and health crises of the past few years have shown us that the travel industry, particularly the airline sector, can become very vulnerable and that no destination is immune from these threats.
  • Rising oil prices
    More gas price hikes are expected in the next few years. Since the price of oil affects tourism-based businesses in myriad ways, travel costs will rise. This situation, coupled with risk factors, could lead to an increase in intra-regional travel. Poorer countries will be hurt by higher transportation costs and require special assistance.
  • Security procedures to facilitate travel
    A country’s methods of providing security and protection for travellers play an important role in its position in the global tourism marketplace. In the coming years, these methods should be harmonized.
  • Increased wealth in both existing and emerging markets
    Economic prosperity drives tourism growth. Existing markets will continue to increase their wealth. Among emerging markets, China and India will experience the most growth. Experts anticipate problems due to overcrowded airline routes.
  • Development of both multilateralism and regionalism
    South-South alliances will develop and create more equitable relations. The current trend towards political and economic consolidation in major global regions will restructure the overall globalization movement. Asia will become an economic centre to watch. As a result, tourism, as well as transportation structures and costs, will be profoundly affected.
  • Technology in the forefront
    Whether we are talking about developments in communication, the convergence of the Internet, cell phones and television or the rollout of new aircraft models, technology will continue to play a primary role in the evolution of the tourism industry.
  • Demographic changes
    Concentrated urban populations and family/work dynamics continue to modify travel behaviour. The populations of large industrialized countries are aging, meaning that more baby boomers will have the time and money to travel. However, some experts have reservations about the amount of discretionary income available to retirees for travel.
  • Increased consumer power, thanks to the Internet
    When it comes to accessing information, prices and reservations, the centre of power has shifted from tourism professionals to travellers themselves. Consumers are very comfortable with the Internet and the decisions it enables them to make.
  • Improved quality of life as a travel incentive
    Travel is seen as an element that can help improve one’s quality of life, whether it is used for adventure and discovery, personal growth, relaxation or to get a new lease on life.
  • Heightened competition
    In an attempt to stimulate economic growth, every city, region and country will be looking for a piece of the tourism pie, creating a context in which branding strategies are key.
  • Promotional strategies involving public-private partnerships
    These types of partnerships are especially common in countries with federal or highly decentralized political systems.
  • Ongoing mergers and acquisitions
    The hotel industry, airlines, distribution network and tour operators will continue their trend towards consolidation.
  • Infrastructure deficiencies
    When it comes to infrastructure, the major Western countries lack the planning needed to respond to the coming international growth. It requires several years’ lead time to expand airports and build more hotels.
  • Booming products
    Green tourism, spa tourism and health tourism (surgery and convalescence) are becoming increasingly popular. Although these are examples of segmentation and specialization, mass tourism is in no danger of disappearing.

  • Flirting with China and India

    Even though China and India are enormous potential markets, there is a long list of countries competing for their business. Over 170 destinations are using their charms to attract Chinese and Indian travellers. Despite these efforts, travellers from emerging markets often follow the same pattern as they start to venture outside their country. They begin by traveling in groups and are most likely to visit neighbouring countries. Afterwards, Europe and North America (particularly the West Coast) are added to the list of destinations and the number of individual travellers increases.

    Not everyone behaves the same, however. Chinese travellers like to feel safe by finding people who speak their language and can provide familiar food. As a result, they will be attracted to foreign countries that boast major Chinese communities. As for travelers from India, their travel experiences have made them more likely to travel alone, anywhere in the world.

    All the same, those who wish to appeal to these travellers are well-advised to get busy.

    Tourism in general likely to continue its upward climb

    If we look at the past fifty years or so, although its growth curve may have had a few blips, tourism is not ready to collapse. And yet, even though international demand is expected to grow by 4.2% annually, there are also more and more regions vying for travellers.

    Sources:
    – Baumgarten, Jean-Claude. President of the World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC) and a guest lecturer for the Cercle de tourisme du Québec, April 20, 2006.
    – Désiront, André. Interview with Jean-Claude Baumgarten following his remarks to the Cercle de tourisme du Québec, April 20, 2006.
    – Frangialli, Francesco. « Défis pour un nouveau millénaire, » Le Devoir, April 1 and 2, 2006.
    – Sarrasin, Bruno. « Temps de ruptures et continuités, » Le Devoir, April 1 and 2, 2006.

Catégories
Human resources Issues

Recruiting tourism workers: The time is now!

The declining number of available workers in the labour force is becoming even more of a concern because tourism is not the only economic sector facing a labour shortage. This creates fierce competition; we are entering the era of the competitive labour market. Businesses must build reputations as desirable employers and think of their high quality workers as both product ambassadors and competitive advantages.

Challenges abound

The tourism industry is facing a monumental challenge when it comes to human resources:

  • The pool of available workers is shrinking. According to a study commissioned by the Canadian Tourism Human Resource Council, there were 1.67 million employees in Canada’s tourism sector in 2003 and, in the next decade, the industry could have problems filling over 300,000 new positions.
  • Staff turnover in the tourism industry is very high (around 30% in Quebec).
  • It is expensive to hire new employees.
  • Jobs in this sector are associated with instability and seasonal fluctuations. They are often considered transitional jobs to other careers.
  • Consumers are becoming increasingly demanding and expect employees in this sector to be knowledgeable about their products, accessible and easy to talk to, and capable of providing assistance.

Caught up in the demands of day to day operations, managers too often wait to hire staff at the last minute, relegating human resource management to a secondary level and failing to provide new employees with what they need to integrate successfully.

And yet, what can help a business reach its objectives, give it a competitive edge and ensure its development? « Happy employees, happy customers » is not simply a cliché; businesses must treat their employees the same way they would like them to treat customers, giving them the consideration they are due.

High staff turnover

Businesses need to examine their human resources from a financial standpoint. High staff turnover is a major financial drain. The time devoted to posting jobs, interviewing candidates, training new hires, etc., combined with lost productivity is very expensive. Managers end up working in reaction mode all the time, and waste precious time dealing with staffing problems instead of getting down to business and taking care of customers.

A recent study reports that the average turnover level in the US lodging industry is approximately 25% for management staff and around 50% for other types of jobs. In addition, the shrinking labour pool means the hiring process is becoming more and more expensive.

Businesses plagued with high turnover need to ask questions: Why do people quit? Are current employees satisfied with their working conditions? Managers who examine these issues are on the right track to solving their staffing problems. We are learning that the factors motivating people to change jobs are (1) a better salary, (2) more interesting working conditions and (3) opportunities for personal development. In a study published by Cornell University, most respondents said their primary motivator is ?the opportunity for personal and career growth and the chance to make a contribution to the organization.? Although there is no scientific way to define the ABCs of being a good employer, there are simple things one can do:

  • Hire the right person for the right job. Carefully define the profile of your ideal candidate. Do not hire overqualified individuals who will take off at the first opportunity on the pretext that the company cannot provide the challenges they seek. Select people who share the company’s values and who will make a difference. Taking the time to find the right candidate is an investment in the company’s future.
  • Pay employees what they are worth. Minimum wages often produce minimum performance and attract workers of minimum talent and motivation. Although quality obviously costs more, it can make a difference.
  • Take some time. Take the time to welcome new employees: explain the company’s vision and goals, the role they are expected to play and how their work fits into the chain of operations. Take the time to help them integrate into the workplace and listen to what they have to say.
  • Recognize the value of the work. Motivate staff by highlighting the good things about their job: the enjoyment experienced by visitors, the employees’ direct contribution to a service or product sought by tourists, the opportunity to work with people and make a positive contribution to the quality of their stay.
  • Create a workplace where people want to work. Compensation is not the only thing that counts. The work atmosphere, job enrichment, advancement opportunities, training, the attention and respect commanded by employees, steady feedback, team spirit and the proper work tools are all elements that help retain employees. It is also important to know how to play to each worker’s strengths by assigning tasks that suit the worker’s profile and interests.
  • Develop a reputation as a desirable employer. Candidates assess companies just as managers assess job candidates. It is important to encourage interest in working at your company. To this end, travel company Thomas Cook has developed an employer brand using two slogans as the basis of a major recruitment campaign: « Great people make our world go round » and « You’ll Go Far. » Companies must ensure their employees are proud to work for them and proud of their service. Happy employees make excellent service and product ambassadors and have a positive impact on customer satisfaction.

High staff turnover does not help a company’s image and leaves it constantly scrambling to attract both customers and potential employees.

Sources:
– Canadian Tourism Human Resource Council. « Total Tourism Sector Employment in Canada, » March 2005.
– Dalby, Colin. « Developing an Employer Brand at Thomas Cook, » Strategic HR Review, Vol. 3, No. 5, July August 2004.
– Gardinier Emmanuel. « Staff Turnover, You Can Fight It, » Hospitality Trends [www.htrends.com], March 14, 2005.
– Hendrie, John. « The Grass Is Always Greener – Good Retention Strategies Can Break The Myth, » Hotel News Resource [hotelnewsresource.com], February 14, 2006.
– Hendrie, John R. « Darwin Was Right – A Good Employee Selection Process Will Make You The Fittest! » Hotel News Resource [hotelnewsresource.com], January 16, 2006.
– Myers, Linda. « Free Web based Management Tool Helps Hotels and Restaurants Weigh Employee Turnover Cost, » ChronicleOnline, Cornell University, July 19, 2005.
– PKF Consulting. « Fixing a Leak in the Hotel Profitability Pipeline – How to Manage the Costs of Employee Turnover, » Hospitality Trends [www.htrends.com], October 14, 2004.
– Taylor, Masako A. and Kate Walsh. « Retaining Management Talent: What Hospitality Professionals Want from Their Jobs, » Center Reports, Vol. 5, No. 1, Cornell University, January 2005.

Catégories
Issues Trends

What do we see in our crystal ball?

The pace of everything will only speed up. We see trendy new destinations, enthusiasm for new products, pronounced customer segmentation and new players that shake up a sector of activity. Lots will be going on in the tourism industry.

Overall factors

  • Socio-demographics – Populations will be increasingly concentrated in urban areas. By the year 2015, over half of all humanity will live in cities. By the year 2020, nearly 90% of the Canadian population will reside in the country’s 25 largest urban regions. The globalization of the job market will lead to greater geographic mobility.
  • Growth period – The largest economic increase in global tourism should occur from 2010 to 2020 with the arrival of emerging markets, such as China and India, and significant growth of close-to-home travel and short trips. 
  • Security – Terrorism will be part of the equation, and travellers will adjust. The impact of terrorist attacks will be more local. Security measures will be standardized around the world and their cost will push airfares up.
  • Environment – Environmental and social awareness will increase. In tourism, this trend will take several forms like ecotourism, equitable tourism, responsible tourism and sustainable tourism. Certain hotels will become eco-friendly. As certain places sustain damage, mass tourism will decline. 
  • Technology – Technology will continue to develop at a rapid pace and involve all sectors of the industry. For example, cellular phones will be used to plan and organize all aspects of trips, and high-definition televisions and computers will provide virtual visits of a destination, with sights, sounds, scents and textures, as if the prospective traveller were actually there.  

Sectors of activity

  • Airline industry – With their greater speed and capacity, planes will make available to many travellers destinations that still seem remote. As the world becomes smaller and more accessible, the door will open to affordable long-haul getaways. 
  • Accommodation – Hotel rooms with state-of-the-art technology will make it possible to combine business and pleasure, switching focus as needed.  

Clientele and products

  • Clientele – International tourists will exceed one billion in 2010, rising to 1.5 billion in 2020. As baby boomers retire en masse from 2010 to 2020, they will represent most of this clientele and shape demand; they’re active, educated, healthy, demanding and more adventurous. Forget the shuffleboard! When it comes to emerging markets, young adults will have the most impact. 
  • Destinations – A new hierarchy of destinations will take hold as Asia and India become more popular. Combined with the growth of new destinations (Qatar, Brazil, Slovakia, etc.), competition among countries will be more intense. The various regional economic agreements (EEC, APEC, etc.) will facilitate travel within trade zones, and tourism will become a regional, rather than global, phenomenon. 
  • Products – Offbeat ideas will continue to emerge. Products like extreme adventure, learning travel, and even silence and relaxation will reflect customers’ life styles. The demand for quality products will be strong.

Sources:
– Sarrasin, Bruno and Guy-Joffroy Lord. « L’évolution du tourisme international: une analyse prospective à l’horizon 2010, » Téoros, fall 2003, p. 5-9.
– The Thomson Future Holiday Forum, [www.lexispr.com/thomson/report.htm] 2004.

SEE ALSO

Global Megatrends Revolutionizing the Tourism Industry at the Dawn of the Third Millennium
By Michael Nowlis, Tourism Control Intelligence